University of Rhode Island    Department of Mathematics

MTH 451

Introduction to Probability and Statistics 

Fall 2020

 

 

Instructor: Dr. M. Kulenovic, Lippitt 202D, 874-4436, mkulenovic@ uri.edu

TextH. Pishro-Nik:

Introduction to Probability, Statistics and Random Processes, Kappa Research 2016

Prerequisites: MTH 243 or equivalent

Calculators: A graphing calculator is required

Office Hours: By appointment 

 

 

Text

H. Pishro-Nik: Introduction to Probability, Statistics and Random Processes

We will cover Chapter 1-7 of the textbook.

Additional Texts:(Excellent sources of solved problems)

Grinstead and Snell, Introduction to Probability (available for free download from: 

http://www.dartmouth.edu/~chance/teaching_aids/books_articles/probability_book/book.html

 

Robert Ash

Basic Probability Theory, Dover (available for free download from: 

http://www.math.uiuc.edu/~r-ash/BPT.html

 

Topics

Combinatorial Methods, Probability, Random Variables, Generating Functions, Probability Distributions and Probability Densities, Mathematical Expectation, Special Probability Distributions, Functions of Random Variables, Law of Large Numbers and Central Limit Theorem.

Evaluation

Mathematica assignments (20%), Quizzes (15%), 2 Exams (20% each), Final Exam (25%)

About the Course

MTH 451 is an introduction to the mathematical theory of probability using calculus. Probability theory has a tremendous range of applications in all the sciences, including the social sciences, business and economics, and provides the mathematical foundation for statistics. It uses a wide variety of mathematical techniques and concepts, especially elementary set theory, combinatorics, and calculus. A main goal of this course is that you will be able to read more advanced material on probability and its applications and go on to courses in mathematical statistics and stochastic processes. The class is designed for an audience with quite diverse interests such as an engineering, science, economics or business major. It is great preparation for the first actuarial exam. The probability will be a basic part of your mathematical toolkit; if you are a secondary math education major, you will most likely need to take the Praxis content exam, which contains material on discrete mathematics and probability for which this course is great preparation; if you are interested in taking the actuarial exams, this course is absolutely fundamental. Probability theory is a fundamental discipline in mathematics itself as well as the foundation for all of statistics. In addition, the study of Probability Theory can be entertaining, enlightening and sometimes surprising.



 

Brightspace Help

 

To access Brightspace go to https://brightspace.uri.edu. The Brightspace resource

page can be found at https://web.uri.edu/brightspace/.

 

Getting Started

 

This is a fully online course. We will use Brightspace as our virtual classroom. After

you log into Brightspace, click on the link to our section. Then click on Content,

followed by Start Here. In there you will find the introductory content for this course

(including this syllabus!), and a video introducing you to the course and explaining how

to navigate it in the weeks ahead.

 

Disability

Americans With Disabilities Act Statement Any personal learning accommodations that may be needed by a student covered by the Americans with Disabilities Act must be made known to the university as soon as possible. This is the student's responsibility. Information about services, academic modifications and documentation requirements can be obtained from the Office of Affirmative Action, Equal Opportunity and Diversity (AAEOD). https://web.uri.edu/affirmativeaction/

Any student with a documented disability is welcome to contact me early in the

semester so that we may work out reasonable accommodations to support your success

in this course. Students should also contact Disability Services for Students, Office of

Student Life, 330 Memorial Union, 401-874-2098.

From the University Manual: 6.40.10 and 6.40.11 Accommodations for Qualified Stu-

dents With Disabilities. Students are expected to notify faculty at the onset of the

semester if any special considerations are required in the classroom. If any special con-

siderations are required for examinations, it is expected the student will notify the faculty

a week before the examination with the appropriate paperwork.

 

 

Brightspace modules and dynamics of learning:

1.   Book: There is free online version of the publisher’s textbook.

2.   Lectures: This module contains the videos of all sections in the book. They must be watched first. They are clearly labeled as m451Lec.1.1, m451Lec.2.3 etc.

3.   Quizzes: This module contains some solved quizzes from previous semesters, which will be clearly labeled like m451f2018Q1.pdf and some practice quizzes labeled like m451f2020Q1Pr.pdf and some solved quizzes labeled like m451f2020Q1Sol.pdf. As soon as you are done with the theory from Lectures module you should look at these quizzes.

4.   Exams: This module contains some solved exams from previous semesters as well as some practice exams prepared for this course.

5.   Mathematica: This module contains Mathematica Notebooks that will be used in Lectures module as well in module on Mathematica Lectures. We will have some Mathematica assignments in this course.

6.   Mathematica Lectures: This module contains video lectures on Mathematica Notebooks from Mathematica module.

7.   Solutions: This module contains solved quizzes and exams from this course.

The proposed dynamics of learning in this course: First listen to video lectures from Lectures module in order given in the above table. Then take look at the Mathematica Lecture and check corresponding Mathematica notebook. Then go to Quizzes and/or Exams and see corresponding solved problems. Then try to solve problems from Practice quizzes and/or exams. After that you might try to solve some of the suggested homework problems. We will have 4 Mathematica assignments.
 

MTH 451Intoduction to Probability and Statistics Fall 2020

Day

 Event

Text  

Suggested Homework Problems 

Wed., September 6

 Start of the course

1.5

3,4,6,8,11,14,16,18,19,23,27,28,30,33,36

 

 

2.2

3,4,6,8,9,14,19,20

 

3.3

2,5,6,8,9,10,14,15,18,20,23,25

Exam 1

4.4

2,3,4,9,12,14,17,19,21

5.4

1,3,4,6,10,14,15,16,22,26,27,36,37

 

6.3

2,3,7,8,11,19,20,21,22

 Exam 2

7.3

1,4,5,13

 

 

 

 FINAL EXAM